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Browse Markets
Explore hundreds of active markets across Nigerian football, politics, economy, and entertainment. No deposit needed to browse. Sign up with your phone number in under 60 seconds.
The crowdalways knows.
Trade your predictions on Nigerian politics, football, economy, and entertainment. Not a betting company. A crowd-powered intelligence market.
98.4% resolution accuracy
<5 mins payout time
18,400+ active predictors
340+ markets resolved
₦ 100 minimum trade
₦ 24M+ total payouts made
Three Steps. Real Outcomes
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Pick a Position
Buy YES or NO shares in any market. Prices reflect the crowd's real-time probability. Fund via Paystack, Flutterwave, or crypto wallet. Trade as low as ₦100.
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Collect Your Winnings
When the market resolves, winners receive ₦1.00 per share held. Payouts land in your wallet within minutes. Withdraw anytime to your bank or crypto address.
What Nigeria is Predicting
POLITICS
Which party will win the presidential elections?
APC
49%PDP
51%APC
PDP
$26k Vol.
ENTERTAINMENT
Will Rema win a grammy next year?
Yes
75%No
25%Yes
No
$26k Vol.
FOOTBALLWill Arsenal win the Premier League?
Yes
25%No
75%Yes
No
$26k Vol.
FOOTBALL
Who will Win?
Barcelona
Real MadridBarcelona
Real Madrid
$26k Vol.
BASKETBALL
Will Shai win the MVP?
Yes
49%No
51%Yes
No
$26k Vol.
GOLF
Will Tiger Woods win the PGA Tour?
Yes
25%No
75%Yes
No
$26k Vol.
Built for people who actually think.
We built a financial instrument for the sharpest minds in Nigeria. Not a lottery. Not a bet. A market.
- 01
Crowd Intelligence, Not Luck
Prices are set by the collective wisdom of thousands of predictors — not by a bookmaker. When the crowd is informed, prices are accurate.
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Transparent Math, Always
Every price, every payout, every fee is computed by an open formula. No house edge hidden in the odds. The AMM does the maths in public.
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Made for Nigerian Markets
Nigerian politics, Super Eagles, Afrobeats, the Naira. Topics Nigerians understand better than any algorithm — or any bookmaker.
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Exit Anytime
Changed your mind? Sell your position before market close. You're never locked in. Prices move — and so can you.
TRY IT YOURSELF
See how your money moves in a market
Enter a stake, pick YES or NO, and watch the AMM calculate your units and potential payout in real time. This is exactly what happens when you trade.
- Prices update every block — no stale quotes
- 2% fee deducted on entry — shown upfront
- Win = Units × ₦1.00. Lose = ₦0
- Sell early to lock in gains or cut losses
Who will win?
LIVE
Yes₦ 50
No₦ 50
Amount
₦8
NGN
Enter the amount here
Current price51%
Units205.08
Potential Max Payout₦ 500k
Platform fee₦ 500
TRUST & TRANSPARENCY
Nothing hidden ever.
Provably Fair AMM
Prices are computed by an open Automated Market Maker — a deterministic formula anyone can audit. No secret algorithms. No bookmaker adjustments.
NDPR Compliant
Your data is handled in line with Nigeria Data Protection Regulation standards. We collect only what we need — and never sell your information.
Simple Fee Structure
Current price51%
Units205.08
Potential Max Payout₦ 500k
Platform fee₦ 500
Instant Payouts
When markets resolve, winnings credit to your wallet quickly — typically within minutes. Withdraw to your bank when you're ready.
COMMUNITY
Nigeria is predicting.
From sport sharps to politics nerds — Probabiliti brings every kind of thinker to one market.
“I've been watching Nigerian football for 20 years. Probabiliti is the first platform that actually lets me profit from what I know. Cashed out ₦48K last month on the Super Eagles qualifying run.”
Chidi Ezinwa
Sport Sharp, Lagos
“I work in policy research and I'd been watching prediction markets abroad for years. Probabiliti finally gives me a home. The political markets are incredibly well-scoped.”
Amara Fashola
Policy Analyst, Abuja
“The fee structure is the most honest I've seen. 2% in, 2% out, zero on winnings. I tested 5 trades before depositing. Everything calculated exactly as shown. That trust is rare.”
Temitope Ojo
Economist, Port Harcourt
GET STARTED FREE
Your first prediction costs nothing to make.
Browse all active markets without signing up. When you're ready to trade, OTP signup takes under a minute.
No credit card. No download. Just your phone number.
FAQ
Good questions deserve straight answers.
We're not a betting company. We know you have questions. Here are the honest ones.
Still have questions? Our team is available on WhatsApp and email.
support@probabiliti.ngNo. Probabiliti is a prediction market — a financial instrument where participants trade probability shares. Unlike betting, there is no bookmaker setting odds. Prices are determined by the collective trades of all participants through an Automated Market Maker (AMM). You are trading against the market, not against a house.
The YES price for any market equals YES Pool ÷ Total Pool. If N6M is in the YES pool and N4M in the NO pool, YES costs N0.60 and NO costs A0.40. When you buy, your stake enters the pool and shifts the price. When you win, each unit pays out N1.00. The math is always public and auditable.
The minimum trade size is #100. There is no maximum position size for standard markets (Pro subscribers have higher limits). You can fund your account via Paystack, Flutterwave, or a crypto wallet (USDT, ETH supported).
Yes. You can sell any open position at the current market price at any time before the market locks (30 minutes before the resolution event). This lets you lock in profits if the price has moved in your favour, or cut losses if your view has changed. A 2% fee applies on the sell side.
Markets are resolved by our editorial team using publicly verifiable sources: official election results, AFCON match reports, NBS economic data, verified news outlets. Resolution criteria are specified in every market's description before it opens. If an event cannot be verified, the market is voided and all stakes returned
Winnings are credited to your Probabiliti wallet within minutes of market resolution. You can withdraw to your bank account or crypto wallet at any time. Withdrawals to Nigerian banks typically settle within 1-2 hours. There is a 0.5% withdrawal fee (Free tier).
Markets are resolved by our editorial team using publicly verifiable sources: official election results, AFCON match reports, NBS economic data, verified news outlets. Resolution criteria are specified in every market's description before it opens. If an event cannot be verified, the market is voided and all stakes returned.
JOIN 18,000+ PREDICTORS
The crowd is already trading.
Every market you miss is a position someone else is taking. Nigeria's smartest prediction platform is live. Your edge is waiting.
No deposit required to explore. OTP signup in under 60 seconds.